Thats all fair. For me with segura, im not confident with his year over year productivity. I think his 2017 season is a reasonable baseline projection, but I dont see much potential for him to be any better then that. With Baez, you have a player who has shown clear statistical improvements year over year with his bat. Sure the k% has gone up every year like you mentioned, but you cant discount his vastly improved walk rate and HR/FB spike last year. I still see more coming from baez, and at the discounted price, id take him over segura.

I see what youre saying though. I didnt expect seager to be available in round 16. That value certainly offset any negative value here and I did point seager out as being a steal. And also, I did kinda mention that it wasnt SUCH a bad time to be taking segura, I just thought you could have waited an extra round or 2 knowing your fallback could be cozart or baez or paul dejong. I guess you got the safest pick of the bunch